Gestor do Itaú encerra posições em ações e explica sua visão sobre o mercado de renda variável
Em entrevista ao PodInvestir, Bruno Serra Fernandes, ex-diretor do Banco Central e atual gestor da família de fundos Janeiro, da Itaú Asset, revelou que decidiu zerar suas posições no mercado de ações de Renda Variável. Ele comentou sobre sua estratégia de investimento, que inclui a saída de ativos nas bolsas de valores dos Estados Unidos, como NYSE e Nasdaq, além da bolsa brasileira.
Serra, que havia mantido uma posição comprada em ações de empresas americanas com sucesso relativo, afirmou que não vê oportunidades atrativas em renda variável neste momento. “Atualmente, estamos completamente fora do mercado de ações”, declarou durante a entrevista ao podcast da Inteligência Financeira. Essa afirmação surge após o fundo multimercado Janeiro registrar um desempenho notável, com quase 140% do CDI em seu primeiro ano, impulsionado por uma carteira robusta de ações de tecnologia, como NVidia, Microsoft e Broadcom.
Durante o programa, ele também compartilhou suas expectativas para o setor de fundos multimercados em 2025, discutiu as eleições americanas e apresentou uma visão diferente em relação ao ciclo de alta de juros no Brasil, além de uma expectativa singular sobre a queda das taxas de juros nos Estados Unidos. A entrevista completa de Bruno Serra pode ser conferida no Spotify e no YouTube, assim como nas principais plataformas de áudio.
Análise das Oportunidades em Renda Variável
De acordo com Bruno Serra, as grandes empresas de tecnologia dos Estados Unidos, após um período de altas anuais em torno de 50% a 60%, agora têm exercido uma pressão significativa sobre o índice S&P 500, fazendo com que o mesmo se torne “um pouco caro”. “Não acho que esteja supercaro a ponto de querer me desfazer de ativos, mas acredito que podemos encontrar um ponto de entrada mais favorável em breve”, afirmou o ex-diretor de política monetária do BC.
Para embasar sua análise, ele menciona o S&P 500 Equal-Weight, um índice que atribui o mesmo peso a todas as 500 empresas que compõem o S&P 500. “Ao analisar esse valuation do S&P Equal-Weight, percebo que estamos quase a 0,8 desvio padrão acima da média histórica dos últimos 20 anos. Isso indica que, de certa forma, o índice está um pouco caro”, explica.
Além disso, ele observa o preço do Vix, que representa a volatilidade do mercado e é conhecido como o Índice do Medo, e que atualmente se encontra acima da média histórica. Apesar de uma redução nas taxas de juros nos Estados Unidos, essas taxas ainda são consideradas altas, levando Serra a concluir que, neste momento, é preferível permanecer fora do mercado para esperar por melhores oportunidades de alocação de risco a preços mais vantajosos.
Cenário da Bolsa Brasileira
Em relação ao mercado brasileiro, Bruno Serra aponta que, apesar de a relação preço/lucro (price earnings) das ações locais ser historicamente atrativa, as oportunidades em renda variável ainda são limitadas. “Houve um período em que a bolsa estava realmente barata. Atualmente, mesmo com o preço/lucro da bolsa brasileira ainda baixo em termos históricos, os setores que pressionam a bolsa para baixo estão em queda no mercado global”, ressalta.
Ele destaca a performance da Vale (VALE3) em comparação com empresas de mineração ao redor do mundo, que ainda estão abaixo da média histórica, especialmente devido às dificuldades enfrentadas pela China. Além disso, menciona o setor de petróleo, representado pela Petrobras (PETR4), que também enfrenta desafios para se valorizar. “Recentemente, houve uma discussão sobre a Arábia Saudita e sua estratégia de manter o petróleo abaixo dos 100 dólares para preservar seu market share. Isso resultou em uma queda significativa”, comenta.
Serra conclui apontando que o ciclo de alta de juros no Brasil poderá encarecer ainda mais o custo de oportunidade de investir na bolsa brasileira.
Fonte: Inteligência Financeiro
Walmart Shares Soar to All-Time High Following Strong Sales and Profit Growth
Walmart (WMT) reported better-than-expected results for the third fiscal quarter of 2025 on Tuesday, with both sales and profits showing impressive growth, leading to a new all-time high in its stock price – Walmart shares
Record Revenue and Profit
The retail giant announced a revenue of $169.59 billion, surpassing last year’s $160.80 billion and beating analysts’ expectations of $167.72 billion, according to Visible Alpha. Walmart’s net income for the quarter reached $4.58 billion, or $0.57 per share, exceeding estimates of $4.25 billion and $0.53 per share, respectively.
E-Commerce and Advertising Drive Growth
Walmart’s e-commerce and advertising sectors, two of the company’s fastest-growing areas, saw significant increases. E-commerce revenue rose by 27%, while its digital advertising revenue surged by 28%. Analysts highlighted that the strong performance of Walmart’s high-margin advertising business could help offset losses in its e-commerce operations, potentially boosting the company’s overall profit margins.
Walmart Gaining Market Share Amid Inflation
Walmart has successfully gained market share across various income levels in recent quarters. Executives attributed this growth to the company’s combination of affordable prices and convenience, which has made Walmart a popular choice for consumers feeling the impact of inflation.
Positive Fiscal Outlook for 2025
Walmart also raised its projections for fiscal 2025. The company now expects sales growth between 4.8% and 5.1%, an increase from its previous forecast of 3.75% to 4.75%. Additionally, Walmart raised its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance to a range of $2.42 to $2.47, up from the earlier range of $2.35 to $2.43.
Stock Performance Hits New High
Walmart’s stock has seen a remarkable 60% increase year-to-date. After the earnings report, shares rose by 3%, reaching $86.67, and hit a new record of $87.88 shortly after the markets opened.
Retail Earnings Season Begins
Walmart, along with home improvement giant Lowe’s (LOW), is leading the start of a busy earnings season for the retail sector. Other major retailers, including Target (TGT), TJX Companies (TJX), and BJ’s Wholesale Club (BJ), will report their results this week. These reports will offer key insights into consumer health as the holiday shopping season approaches.
With strong results from Walmart, analysts will gain valuable information about the overall state of consumer spending in the U.S., which will be crucial for understanding trends as the end-of-year shopping season approaches.
Who is Warren Buffett? The History and Contribution of the Oracle of Omaha to the Financial Market
Warren Buffett, who is often referred to as the “Oracle of Omaha,” is undoubtedly one of the most renowned investors in history. Born on August 30, 1930, in Omaha, Nebraska, Buffett has, over the decades, meticulously built his reputation as both a financial genius and a committed philanthropist. As a result of his extraordinary success, his name has become synonymous with long-term investing, disciplined decision-making, and an unmatched ability to generate substantial wealth through the stock market. In this article, we will explore his background, highlight his key accomplishments, and delve into his significant contributions to the financial world.
Early Life and Education
Warren Edward Buffett demonstrated a keen interest in business and investing from a very young age. In fact, by the time he was just 11 years old, he had already purchased his first stock, a remarkable feat for someone so young. Furthermore, Buffett’s dedication to education was evident as he attended the University of Nebraska to complete his undergraduate studies. Later on, he earned a master’s degree in economics from Columbia University. It was during his time at Columbia that Buffett had the opportunity to study under the legendary investor Benjamin Graham, the author of The Intelligent Investor. Not surprisingly, Graham’s principles of value investing profoundly influenced Buffett’s investment philosophy, shaping the foundation of his future success.
Building Berkshire Hathaway
Buffett’s rise to fame began with his acquisition of Berkshire Hathaway, a struggling textile company, in the 1960s. He transformed the company into a diversified conglomerate, owning subsidiaries in industries ranging from insurance (GEICO) and energy (Berkshire Hathaway Energy) to retail and manufacturing. Today, Berkshire Hathaway is one of the most valuable companies in the world, with a market capitalization exceeding $700 billion.
Warren Buffett’s strategy involves acquiring undervalued companies with strong fundamentals and holding them for the long term. His iconic investments include Coca-Cola, American Express, and Apple. This “buy-and-hold” approach has made Berkshire Hathaway’s Class A shares some of the most expensive on the stock market, valued at hundreds of thousands of dollars each.
Warren Buffett – Investment Philosophy
Buffett’s investment philosophy is grounded in simplicity and discipline. He advocates for investing in businesses with strong competitive advantages, trustworthy management, and consistent earnings. Famous for his quotes, Buffett often emphasizes the importance of patience, saying, “The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.”
Philanthropic Contributions
In addition to his financial success, Warren Buffett is one of the most generous philanthropists in the world. He co-founded The Giving Pledge with Bill and Melinda Gates, committing to donate the majority of his wealth to charitable causes. As of today, Buffett has donated tens of billions of dollars to causes such as education, health care, and poverty alleviation.
Warren Buffett and his Legacy in the Financial Market
Buffett’s impact on the financial market is immeasurable. His teachings have inspired countless investors to adopt value investing as a core strategy. Moreover, his annual letters to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders are regarded as must-read material for anyone interested in finance.
Buffett’s story is also a testament to the power of long-term vision and ethical business practices. Unlike many investors who chase quick profits, Buffett focuses on sustainability and creating lasting value, making him a trusted figure in the industry.
Conclusion
Warren Buffett’s contributions to the financial world extend far beyond his impressive investment portfolio. His life serves as a masterclass in patience, discipline, and integrity. Known as the Oracle of Omaha, Buffett continues to inspire millions with his wisdom and generosity, proving that success is not just about making money but also about making a difference.
The Environmental Impact of Cryptocurrencies: Challenges and Sustainable Solutions
The topic of “The environmental impact of cryptocurrencies” has certainly generated intense debate in recent years, especially with the continued growth in the use of digital currencies such as Bitcoin. The blockchain technology behind these cryptocurrencies requires large amounts of energy, raising concerns about long-term sustainability. In this article, we will explore how cryptocurrencies affect the environment and the measures being taken to mitigate these impacts.
The Energy Required for Blockchain: Mining and the Environmental Impact of Cryptocurrencies
Cryptocurrency mining involves validating transactions on a blockchain network and requires significant computational processing power. This process is energy-intensive, especially for cryptocurrencies that use the Proof of Work (PoW) algorithm. Bitcoin, for example, is often criticized for its high energy consumption, which rivals that of some medium-sized countries.
The Environmental Impact of Cryptocurrencies
The Carbon Footprint of Cryptocurrencies: What Do the Studies Say?
Studies have quantified the carbon footprint of cryptocurrencies, revealing alarming data. According to research from the University of Cambridge, the Bitcoin network consumes more than 120 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity per year, equivalent to about 0.55% of global electricity production. This massive consumption contributes significantly to greenhouse gas emissions, placing cryptocurrencies at the center of discussions on climate change.
Sustainable Alternatives: Green Cryptocurrencies and Eco-Friendly Algorithms
To address the growing concern about the environmental impact of cryptocurrencies, initiatives are emerging focused on making the technology more sustainable. One such initiative is the adoption of less energy-intensive consensus algorithms, such as Proof of Stake (PoS). In addition, cryptocurrencies such as Chia have been designed to be more environmentally friendly, using consensus methods that consume significantly less energy.
The Transition to Renewable Energy in Cryptocurrency Mining
Another strategy to reduce environmental impact is the transition to renewable energy sources in mining. Mining companies are beginning to adopt solar, wind, and hydroelectric power for their operations. This shift not only helps to reduce the carbon footprint, but can also make cryptocurrency mining more cost-effective in the long run.
Conclusion: The Future of Cryptocurrencies and Environmental Sustainability
The environmental impact of cryptocurrencies is a significant challenge that cannot be ignored. However, with the advancement of technologies and a growing awareness of the importance of sustainability, the future of cryptocurrencies can be greener. With the transition to more efficient algorithms and the adoption of renewable energy, these are essential steps to ensure that the growth of cryptocurrencies does not harm the environment.
In this scenario, the combination of technological innovation and environmental commitment can help shape a more sustainable future for cryptocurrencies.
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